Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 105.875631 116.761559 127.851090 139.967822 152.808882 165.987588 180.510346
2025-11-30 89.930866 106.311507 123.720047 143.489568 165.210018 188.245284 214.419757
2025-12-07 76.365496 96.506508 118.779071 144.967035 174.653326 207.014767 244.713777
2025-12-14 64.301734 86.815203 112.687861 144.110156 180.747436 221.658410 270.339054
2025-12-21 56.135545 80.602046 109.722130 146.109793 189.567972 239.075390 299.010344
2025-12-28 50.625739 76.895167 109.157651 150.479818 200.843261 259.173502 330.786157
2026-01-04 45.167302 72.592235 107.331782 152.890886 209.482352 276.027669 358.767079
2026-01-11 41.053468 69.562822 106.716452 156.481571 219.332327 294.208198 388.310613
2026-01-18 37.223512 66.487030 105.698998 159.290571 228.033703 310.919881 416.113230
2026-01-25 30.850598 59.130462 98.430454 153.538104 225.607342 313.793665 427.045684
2026-02-01 26.163483 53.707481 93.332645 150.223798 225.932150 319.786213 441.567907
2026-02-08 22.860314 50.025606 90.357995 149.487724 229.372406 329.512342 460.588679
2026-02-15 20.373837 47.437881 88.841241 150.725727 235.486307 342.803484 484.365464
2026-02-22 19.154124 46.840904 90.192656 155.946553 246.934227 362.987915 516.944987
2026-03-01 17.362499 45.045689 89.599667 158.334265 254.565343 378.333757 543.573468
2026-03-08 15.129670 42.170335 87.131772 157.870463 258.233987 388.532934 563.731106
2026-03-15 13.720889 40.654220 86.669980 160.232732 265.720686 403.692826 590.246360
2026-03-22 12.907426 40.200801 87.857071 165.003638 276.548342 423.277443 622.519307
2026-03-29 11.779471 38.959708 87.653895 167.634767 284.377186 438.943054 649.840649
2026-04-05 10.963098 38.262720 88.286305 171.485312 293.906888 456.882174 680.155986
2026-04-12 10.080788 37.300809 88.392211 174.487480 302.231241 473.251849 708.519477
2026-04-19 7.984418 33.195386 82.768968 168.392001 297.412438 471.934231 713.833898
2026-04-26 6.512751 30.244427 78.933094 164.877268 296.123612 475.228585 725.069860